If you have wondered why the American people no longer trust most government institutions and the mainstream media, this is a perfect illustration of the corruption of science by politics and the media.


Dr. Fauci’s confession…

December 24, 2020 – Washington  Times

Fauci says he's been intentionally moving the goalposts on herd immunity estimates.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s top infectious disease expert, admitted in a new interview that he’s been intentionally moving the goalposts on his recommendations regarding herd immunity based on what he thinks the American people are ready to hear.

[OCS: First, Dr. Anthony Fauci is not the nation’s top infectious disease expert. He may be the nation’s most prominent media-hyped face of the pandemic, but he is far from being the nation’s top infectious disease expert.

Second, it appears that “The Science” is based on “what he thinks the American people are ready to hear.” This is not science; it is not medicine; it is not informed by psychology; it is politics.]

Herd immunity, or the percentage of a population that acquires resistance to the coronavirus through infection or vaccination, has been widely estimated at roughly 60 to 70 percent for the coronavirus since the start of the pandemic.

Dr. Fauci, a member of the White House’s coronavirus response, also cited that number in the beginning of the pandemic but said it would be about “70, 75 percent” in an interview about a month ago, The New York Times reported. Last week, he reportedly told CNBC “75, 80, 85 percent” and “75 to 80-plus percent.”

[OCS: I can understand the manipulation of the numbers when it is informed by science. Anything else is majorly suspect as politically-driven.]

Dr. Fauci told The Times in an interview published Thursday that he had slowly but deliberately been moving the goalposts, partly based on new science, and partly on his gut feeling that the American public was ready to receive the information, which is that 70-90% herd immunity should be achieved before the country can go back to normal.

[OCS: Can you even begin to understand how politicians based destructive public policy on Fauci’s “gut feeling?”

There is a great deal of controversy over “The Science” used by politicians to grab power and, demonstrably, to cripple Donald Trump's presidency. That crippling our economy and destroying lives is somehow dictated by the “The Science” is another example of The Big Lie.

In fact, the stated goal of the preventative measures was to “flatten the curve,” that is, to delay to some degree the number of people requiring acute medical intervention and hospitalization – not to save lives per se. As we have seen, projections were wildly inconsistent, and any conclusive proof of an effective strategy was missing. And, the basic death statistics were redefined and manipulated for political and financial purposes.]

He said he hesitated to state a number as high as 90% weeks ago because many Americans still seemed skeptical about vaccines.

[OCS: Of course, many Americans seemed skeptical of the vaccine. I wonder if it could have anything to do with the fact that the nation’s politicians and the mainstream media tied the vaccine to the basic political theme of “Orange Man Bad” and that anything he said was probably overstated or an outright lie. Or the media’s 24/7 repetition of stories about vaccine side effects that are well within the bounds of normal expectations – sensationalizing and highlighting the worst cases to attract an audience.]

“When polls said only about half of all Americans would take a vaccine, I was saying herd immunity would take 70 to 75 percent,” Dr. Fauci, who took his first dose of Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine Tuesday, told The Times. “Then, when newer surveys said 60 percent or more would take it, I thought, ‘I can nudge this up a bit,’ so I went to 80, 85.

[OCS: Medical conclusions and prescriptions based on science, particularly in medicine, which is still part art, are not based on deeply-flawed public opinion polling that can’t possibly ensure than any statistically valid sample that would contain enough people with underlying conditions, co-morbidities, to make conclusory statements.

We need to have some humility here,” he added. “We really don’t know what the real number is. I think the real range is somewhere between 70 to 90 percent. But, I’m not going to say 90 percent.”

[OCS: Screw humility – what is required is the basic honesty of real science. And the lack of infantilizing the American public by elitists who claim to be superior enough to tell us how to live our lives.]

Dr. Fauci said he wouldn’t state that number because it would potentially discourage Americans from getting the vaccine, The Times reported. <Source> <Original New York Times Article>

[OCS: The truth is clear: Fauci doesn’t know the number, so he either should admit the fact or keep his mouth shut.] 

Another medical celebrity?

Since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, we have been told that Dr. Anthony Fauci, the 36-year director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases is the best expert on the Communist Chinese Party Virus in the Trump Administration.

Why, I am not sure.

Dr. Fauci, like many other experts who believe their own expertise is enough to discover, verify, and distill the incoming information on the emerging virus, was, in fact, woefully inadequate.

Based on the historical record, it appears that the good doctor did not know more about the emerging disease than many other similarly credentialed and experienced professionals. Which is to say, his knowledge was just above that of some of the more enlightened members of the general public.

Mask on – Mask Off – Mask on … Which is it? Are masks helpful in protecting ourselves from the virus, protecting others, likely to create problems with those who have underlying pulmonary and cardiac issues, or likely to increase the chance of infection? Which mask? How effective or dangerous if not fitted properly? Don’t bother Dr. Fauci because he has been wildly inconsistent – again admitting his pronouncements were driven by politics and not science. 

Fauci said US government held off promoting face masks because it knew shortages were so bad that even doctors couldn't get enough

A few days earlier, he tweeted that masks were "not effective in preventing" COVID-19 in the general public, saying, "Seriously people- STOP BUYING MASKS!" He later reversed his advice.

Fauci explained the early advice against masks by saying: "The public-health community — and many people were saying this — were concerned that it was at a time when personal protective equipment, including the N95 masks and the surgical masks, were in very short supply."

"Now we have masks, and we know that you don't need an N95 if you're an ordinary person in the street," he said. "We also know that simple cloth coverings that many people have can work as well as a mask in many cases." <Source>

It appears that Fauci's real expertise is in presenting an image of a wizened all-knowing physician with the ability to speak with certitude about the latest findings of others -- but without the wisdom to assess their degree of correctness. He was much better as the story's narrator and blowing smoke up your ass than he was in the interpretation of the initial mathematical models that predicted up to two million dead Americans.

In making every one of his pronouncements, it is apparent that Fauci did not understand the recursive nature of human behavior, where some highlighted behavior results in a cascade of that very behavior -- or he was outright lying for political purposes.

What he did not say was that the goal of the government's effort was not to minimize the disease's transmissibility to protect individuals but to flatten the curve so that medical facilities were not overwhelmed.

Likewise, he did not say much about the governors who condemned thousands of senior citizens in nursing homes to a lonely death. Nor did he appear to understand the human cost of lockdowns and bankruptcies as small businesses evaporated in a sea of debt. Or the tyrannical and nonsensical power grab by governors and others who literally were picking winners and losers as they dined out, unprotected in an exclusive and expensive fine French restaurant.

Can you believe this? We have entered the realm of unreality …

Mayor Muriel Bowser proclaimed Thursday, December 24, 2020, “Dr. Anthony S. Fauci Day” in Washington, DC. Tomorrow is Dr. Fauci’s 80th birthday.

“Dr. Fauci has been a hero to our nation during this incredibly difficult year, working tirelessly to save lives and guide our nation’s response to and recovery from the pandemic,” said Mayor Bowser. “We are incredibly proud to count him among the many DC residents who are sacrificing so much to keep our communities healthy and safe. I issue this honor on behalf of all Washingtonians in gratitude and recognition of Dr. Fauci’s service to our nation and our city.” <Source>

Bottom line…

We are now seeing screaming headlines that warn us that “We the People” need to be “managed” as a new mutation of the virus has been discovered with the same cycle of uncertainty exploited for political purposes. What we have learned over the past ten months is that “you don’t know what you don’t know” and that the elites are mostly empty suits motivated by power, position, prestige perks, privileges, and personal and professional profits.

That Dr. Fauci should continue to be the public face of “medicine” as the Chief Medical Advisor to President-elect Biden in a Biden/Harris Administration should be an anathema to the long-suffering American people – and an insult to the U.S. Surgeon General.

And that individuals who take their medical advice from celebrities deserve what they get.

If you are going to consider the totality of treatment options, you will do well to follow the sage advice of Dr. Bradley Hennenfent, a physician and economist. "Put the patient first. Ask what is the net treatment benefit for the patient? Combine the mathematics of medical statistics with the mathematics of economics."

What we have learned from our experience with Dr. Fauci: trust the science, not necessarily the scientist.

We are well and truly screwed.

-- steve

“Nullius in verba.”-- take nobody's word for it!

“Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance.”-- George Bernard Shaw

“Progressive, liberal, Socialist, Marxist, Democratic Socialist -- they are all COMMUNISTS.”

“The key to fighting the craziness of the progressives is to hold them responsible for their actions, not their intentions.” – OCS

"The object in life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane." -- Marcus Aurelius

“A people that elect corrupt politicians, imposters, thieves, and traitors are not victims... but accomplices” -- George Orwell

“Fere libenter homines id quod volunt credunt." (The people gladly believe what they wish to.) ~Julius Caesar

“Describing the problem is quite different from knowing the solution. Except in politics." ~ OCS