It is a medical fact that anxiety, panic, and stress can weaken your immune system and severely impact your health.
There is little doubt in my mind that the politicians and news media are sensationalizing the current pandemic to gain political power, and in the case of the media, attract a large audience which translates into increased revenue.
So I was surprised to see a letter published in the New England Journal of Medicine by Dr. Anthony Fauci, President Trump's medical sidekick that suggests that the current situation, while serious -- especially for the elderly and those with underlying medical conditions -- may not be as grave as being hyped 24/7.
The headlines, repeated in the media 24/7 echo chamber scream…
List of authors. Anthony S. Fauci, M.D., H. Clifford Lane, M.D., and Robert R. Redfield, M.D.
The latest threat to global health is the ongoing outbreak of the respiratory disease that was recently given the name Coronavirus Disease 2019 (Covid-19). Covid-19 was recognized in December 2019.1 It was rapidly shown to be caused by a novel coronavirus that is structurally related to the virus that causes severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). As in two preceding instances of emergence of coronavirus disease in the past 18 years — SARS (2002 and 2003) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) (2012 to the present) — the Covid-19 outbreak has posed critical challenges for the public health, research, and medical communities.
In their Journal article, Li and colleagues provide a detailed clinical and epidemiologic description of the first 425 cases reported in the epicenter of the outbreak: the city of Wuhan in Hubei province, China. Although this information is critical in informing the appropriate response to this outbreak, as the authors point out, the study faces the limitation associated with reporting in real time the evolution of an emerging pathogen in its earliest stages. Nonetheless, a degree of clarity is emerging from this report. The median age of the patients was 59 years, with higher morbidity and mortality among the elderly and among those with coexisting conditions (similar to the situation with influenza); 56% of the patients were male.
Of note, there were no cases in children younger than 15 years of age. Either children are less likely to become infected, which would have important epidemiologic implications, or their symptoms were so mild that their infection escaped detection, which has implications for the size of the denominator of total community infections.
On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.4 In another article in the Journal, Guan et al. report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%.
This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.
The efficiency of transmission for any respiratory virus has important implications for containment and mitigation strategies. The current study indicates an estimated basic reproduction number (R0) of 2.2, which means that, on average, each infected person spreads the infection to an additional two persons. As the authors note, until this number falls below 1.0, it is likely that the outbreak will continue to spread. Recent reports of high titers of virus in the oropharynx early in the course of disease arouse concern about increased infectivity during the period of minimal symptoms.
A robust research effort is currently under way to develop a vaccine against Covid-19.10 We anticipate that the first candidates will enter phase 1 trials by early spring. Therapy currently consists of supportive care while a variety of investigational approaches are being explored. Among these are the antiviral medication lopinavir–ritonavir, interferon-1β, the RNA polymerase inhibitor remdesivir, chloroquine, and a variety of traditional Chinese medicine products.
Once available, intravenous hyperimmune globulin from recovered persons and monoclonal antibodies may be attractive candidates to study in early intervention. Critical to moving the field forward, even in the context of an outbreak, is ensuring that investigational products are evaluated in scientifically and ethically sound studies.
When you can't trust the numbers...
All of the information being trumpeted as fact by the media comes from incomplete data and models whose assumptions introduce large errors into the output projections. Unfortunately, early on, that's all we have and need to use for planning. Continually refining our plans as time goes on, we get better data and fine-tune our assumptions. But to scare individuals needlessly serves no purpose other than to drive media ratings and the type of urgency politicians use to pass their unpalatable agenda items.
As a generalized guideline: as more and more people are tested, the smaller the lethality percentage. But, those reporters who want to emphasize their point often show the large increases in the raw numbers as a measure of increasing doom rather than simply reflecting more testing. Or they hide relative truths by picking and choosing when they will use numbers based on a per capita basis. And, then there is the confirmation bias -- numbers based on people known to have COVID-19 who were tested only after exhibiting serious symptoms -- of course there will be more problems in this cohort.
Scaring the people…
Powerful progressive politicians like House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and their cadre of radical socialists and communists appear to be following Rahm Emanuel’s dictum: “You never let a serious crisis go to waste. And what I mean by that it's an opportunity to do things you think you could not do before.” Like implementing programs, policies, procedures, and funding that no individual legislator would pass or are fundamentally abhorrent to the American people.
Omnipresent mainstream media vie with each other to create the most sensational headlines or write stories to disparage and demonize President Donald Trump and his Administration. Truth be told, many politicians and members of the media are attempting to hold the President responsible for actions of previous administrations or actions that rightly belong to the states and their respective governors. Most of the onerous regulations imposed on "we the people" are the result of state and local orders -- nothing to do with the federal government who has been issuing guidelines rather than dictates.
In the final analysis, this is an attack on the American people, the American way of life, and America itself. A fifth column of traitors attempting to destroy America from within on behalf of our enemies, both foreign and domestic. One need only look at the mainstream news stories promoting communist Chinese propaganda after they unleashed a pandemic on the world and are now attempting to mitigate their embarrassment and responsibility for this worldwide disaster.
Time to hold these progressive socialist democrats and the republicans who give them a pass, responsible for a major collapse of our society – however temporary it might be. It might also be useful to shun the traditional mainstream media and especially the traitorous CNN and MSNBC.
While the people practice "social distancing," it appears that the politicians are practicing "political distancing" -- politicians deflecting the responsibility for the lack of preparation from themselves to the President. It was the governors who are responsible for the lack of hospital beds, ventilators, and other critical supplies.
As I said yesterday, California has been preparing for the "Big One" for decades -- and yet was proven to be woefully impotent in a situation that did NOT involve severe crush injuries, massive property destruction, and the loss of critical water, electricity, gas, and sanitation infrastructure. Well, this was the precursor to the "big one" and we need to ask them what did they accomplish and what happened to the money.
We are so screwed.
“Nullius in verba.”-- take nobody's word for it!
“Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance.”-- George Bernard Shaw
“Progressive, liberal, Socialist, Marxist, Democratic Socialist -- they are all COMMUNISTS.”
“The key to fighting the craziness of the progressives is to hold them responsible for their actions, not their intentions.” – OCS "The object in life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane." -- Marcus Aurelius “A people that elect corrupt politicians, imposters, thieves, and traitors are not victims... but accomplices” -- George Orwell
“The key to fighting the craziness of the progressives is to hold them responsible for their actions, not their intentions.” – OCS
"The object in life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane." -- Marcus Aurelius
“A people that elect corrupt politicians, imposters, thieves, and traitors are not victims... but accomplices” -- George Orwell