With any controversial political program, ostensibly based on the science of the times, comes charges and counter-charges of manipulation of the facts.
Fortunately, facts cannot be manipulated and science is not performed by developing a consensus opinion. For those who doubt the veracity of this statement, one need only review the words of noted scientist Nicolaus Copernicus who died in 1543.
"For I am not so enamored of my own opinions that I disregard what others may think of them. I am aware that a philosopher's ideas are not subject to the judgment of ordinary persons, because it is his endeavor to seek the truth in all things, to the extent permitted to human reason by God. Yet I hold that completely erroneous views should be shunned. Those who know that the consensus of many centuries has sanctioned the conception that the earth remains at rest in the middle of the heaven as its center would, I reflected, regard it as an insane pronouncement if I made the opposite assertion that the earth moves."
Thus many things that are passed off as scientific fact are, indeed, only theories, findings and conclusions which will remain suspect until proven to the satisfaction of the extended scientific community. And these facts, in and of themselves, remain eternally open to challenge by any scientist who can prove otherwise or set limits on the range of conditions for which the fact proves to be valid. The conundrums of Newtonian mechanics when compared to quantum mechanics may serve as an object lesson in assigning ranges of validity. Things which have been proven to be valid at a macro scale are often contradicted by observations at a quantum scale.
And so goes the quest for scientific knowledge.
What is known about climatic change is that weather and any resultant planetary changes may be cyclic in nature and that the exact correlation between a large number of factors, both gross and fine, form the basis of a great statistical puzzle. These findings, conclusions and theories are often at odds with each other. Some theories being provably right for specified conditions, some being proved to be completely wrong. And others being neither totally right, nor totally wrong.
However, what is wrong is to attempt to use science as a reason to force political and economic change upon a population. To force certain groups to surrender their rights, and other groups to profit from their suffering.
There is no proof that so-called global warming exists beyond a few theories and the attempts to link mathematical models to historical and observable data. Nothing has been proven or accepted as fact. It is entirely possible that the research will continue as long as the planet survives and that the only conclusion will be is that nature seems cyclic and that some cycles defy all rational attempts to calculate and project the periodic nature of the underlying events.
With this in mind, I would like to direct your attention to the papers presented at The Lavoisier Group 2007 Workshop: "Rehabilitating Carbon Dioxide" which was held in Melbourne Australia on June 29-30, 2007.
The papers listed below may be obtained from the group's site located here.
Ray Evans, An Overview
Alex Robson, A Solution in Search of a Problem: The Shergold Report on Emissions Trading
David Archibald, The Past and Future of Climate
Tim Curtin, The Da Vinci Code of Climate Change Economics or What are the real benefits of avoiding predicted climate change, and what are the costs?
David Evans, My Life With the AGO and Other Reflections
Michael Hammer, A Theoretical Analysis of the Effect of Greenhouse Gases in the Atmosphere
Bob Carter, The Myth of Dangerous Human-Caused Climate Change
WJR Alexander, F Bailey, DB Bredenkamp, A van der Merwe and N Willemse, Linkages between solar activity, climate predictability and water resource development
Stewart W Franks, Multi-decadal climate variability: Flood and Drought---New South Wales
Tom Quirk, Everyone is entitled to their own opinion but not their own facts
These papers explore various and political aspects of global warming and the carbon offset trading scheme. They should be part of your basic knowledge on the so-called phenomenon of global warming.
What can YOU do?
I sincerely believe that man, at his present state of development and possessing even superior knowledge, is incapable of grossly affecting the natural cycles of this planet and underlying phenomenon any more than may can stop the continual movement of the tectonic plates to affect the proximate cause of earthquakes. We cannot even stop man from taking shelter in building that are constructed in known hazardous areas. Or stop man from rebuilding in these very areas once a disaster has occurred.
I sincerely believe that political/financial constructs based on natural energy are doomed to failure as the resultant operations of such enterprises becomes ever more corrupt as time proceeds. One only need review the actions of Enron and those who attempted to game the system to understand the very nature of the corruption and its likelihood of reappearing when political and financial forces collude to control the energy production and usage on any scale; be it local, state, national or international.
My conclusion is that corrupt and ill-informed people were, are and will continue to be the greatest threat to the planet and its inhabitants.
That the so-called phenomenon known as global warming is another of man's periodic attempts to secure increased political control and generate profits on the backs of ordinary citizens -- of whatever country from which they hail.
That all such attempts at making political policy, based on non-existent or fallacious science, must be rebuffed at all costs.
That any scheme that would limit the production of carbon-based energy in one part of the world would be quickly offset by those skirting the regulations and/or refusing to adhere to the "legislated norm." Common sense tells you that a gross polluter in one area cannot purchase enough "mitigating offset credits" to eliminate the local pollution that is medically affecting those in the vicinity of the polluter's operations. It is of little import to a man dying of respiratory disease that some governmental bookkeeper, in some hallowed hall ,has computed the carbon dioxide inputs and outputs to achieve a level determined by global consensus. The fact remains: the polluters will continue to pollute, the people who generate, package and sell credits will profit without producing one iota of benefit for humanity, and the ordinary citizen will, once again, get hosed.
Al Gore is the poster boy for future political and financial corruption. Nothing more or less. He does not appear to understand the science underlying climate change nor appear to feel any degree of shame with his demonstrably false apocalyptic projections. He refused to debate the science or his political observations. Pesky reporters who ask tough questions are prohibited or restrained at his appearances. However, thank God, his ignorance is on display for all to see.
Before taking a position, one way or another, on global warming, you owe it to yourself and your community to develop an informed opinion. Look at the suggested readings and feel free to comment or supply suggestions of your own. It is often through these community exchanges of ideas, that progress in understanding and controlling our political environment occurs -- leading to the preservation of our hard-won liberty, human rights and fruits of our labor.
As citizens of America, it is our duty to maintain our sovereignty and freedoms in the face of those plundering the earth in the name of science, religion or profits. Do not support any person who tells you that science dictates you surrender part of your freedom or part with a larger portion of your livelihood. Reject those politicians who demand action NOW based on phenomena that have been observed over millions of years -- and which are suspiciously being correlated somehow to the observations of today.
-- steve
A reminder from OneCitizenSpeaking.com: a large improvement can result from a small change…
The object in life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane. -- Marcus Aurelius
Climatic Change is Not a Problem of the Future
The diagnosis of the future of the planet cannot be gloomier. To the numerous elements that damage the environment, we must now add others, like the direct consequences of turning food into fuel, established as the economic policy guideline of the United States, designed and defended at all costs by the US president.
The issue has been presented on many occasions as a warning of the potential danger that, if continued, will affect the indispensable conditions for the life on the planet. Evidently at the service of the large transnationals, which produce 25 percent of the contaminating gas emissions, the White House has justified its position and has systematically refused to sign the Kyoto Protocol.
The inhabitants of the planet are required to act urgently. Maybe it's not too late.
Carlos Menéndez
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Carlos, Thank you for reading my blog and responding. I am afraid we must disagree on this issue.
First, is the matter of urgency -- this is a natural phenomenon occurring over thousands of years. Any actions of man may not be measurable or even apparent for hundreds of years.
Second, is the matter of observational error -- Even with today's experiments and measurements there is significant systemic error which casts doubts on the hypothesis that the global temperature will continue to rise, rather than rise and fall, regressing to an unknown mean.
Third, is the matter of the root causes -- which appear to be based on the water vapor cycle and the relationship between solar output and cloud cover. CO2 and other "greenhouse" gasses are an insignificant factor when measured against water vapor.
And fourth, the United States' refusal to sign-on to the Kyoto protocol -- this is problematical because it would violate the sovereignty of the United States by ceding control over our economy, industry and energy creation to a foreign body composed of those whose interests are mainly anti-growth, anti-nuclear and definitely anti-American. The two significant sources of man-made global pollution, China and India, are not covered or will receive waivers regarding pollution standards.
I am assuming by your comment that "turning food into fuel" you are considering "biomass" conversions which require more energy than the creation of some conventional fuels. I regard this as a "fad" and do not consider the process to be a significant component of energy policy.
My vote is for nuclear energy which is clean, abundant, renewable and, other than considerations of weapons production and spent fuel requirements, is the future of all energy production. Unfortunately, the same "environmental crowd" that is trying to dictate current energy policy has been against nuclear energy for 50 years.
Anyway, thanks for writing.You may want to read some of my other global warming materials located in the "global warming" section of my blog.
-- steve
Posted by: hipotecas & prestamos | September 15, 2007 at 11:13 AM